Nation’s Ministry of Environmental Protection turns to Circle of Blue and the Wilson Center’s China Environment Forum for help.
By Keith Schneider
Circle of Blue
Faced with diminishing freshwater reserves and rising levels of toxic air pollution, China appears ready to begin curbing the primary cause of both harmful trends — the mining and burning of steadily increasing amounts of coal to serve the nation’s utility, chemical, cement, and manufacturing sectors.
Editorials in state newspapers describe the Chinese leadership as more determined than ever to simultaneously strengthen water conservation, improve energy efficiency, and accelerate the development of cleaner energy sources. China’s state news agency, for instance, announced in August a government pilot program to “control” coal consumption in a few dozen major cities, including Beijing.
One of the nation’s premier science divisions, the Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy (PRCEE), a unit of the Ministry of Environmental Protection, is developing a distinctive set of scientific and industrial management practices — called “co-control” — to reduce China’s dependence on coal. The idea is to identify and implement cost-effective strategies that simultaneously reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, limit conventional air pollutants, and lower demand for coal.
Since 2010, journalists from Circle of Blue and researchers from the Wilson Center’s China Environment Forum have traveled repeatedly to China to document the consequences to water supplies, and to air quality, from China’s use of coal. The Choke Point: China series attracted the attention of the Ministry of Environmental Protection. Over the last year, scientists with the PRCEE teamed up with Circle of Blue and the Wilson Center’s China Environment Forum to conduct weeks of field research on how two Chinese cities — Urumqi in the desert west and Qingdao on the Pacific Coast — manage their water and energy demands. The collaborative project produced a comprehensive report, funded by the Asian Development Bank, that makes the case that a two-year-old pilot program conducted by the Ministry of Environmental Protection in Urumqi to reduce coal demand can be applied in Qingdao and duplicated in other cities.
The PRCEE’s co-control concept to reduce dependence on coal stems from more than 20 years of cooperation between China’s Ministry of Environmental Protection and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), which worked together in the mid-1990s on frameworks for improving air quality across regions. Through deploying various equipment, state-of-the-art industrial practices, and market mechanisms to reduce total greenhouse gas emissions, other toxic pollutants affecting the quality of urban air also will decline.
With the help of Circle of Blue and the Wilson Center, the PRCEE recently expanded their research to incorporate water supply and use in co-control practices. The report describes how reducing the flow of water in energy-hungry desalination, wastewater treatment, and recycling plants significantly lowers the demand in China for coal-fired electricity. Click here for a copy of the study: Scoping Water and Energy Pollution Nexus in Urumqi and Qingdao for Preparing PRC’s Ministry of Environmental Protection Co-Control Program .
Mission To Drop Emissions
The basic principles supporting the co-control concept make enormous sense, though achieving them in the world’s second-largest economy would be a monumental task. Coal currently accounts for 76 percent of China’s energy production and 70 percent of its energy consumption, in addition to producing the world’s highest emissions of carbon dioxide, the primary greenhouse gas that contributes to climate change. Fresh water needed for mining, processing, and consuming coal accounts for the largest share of industrial water use in China, or roughly 120 billion cubic meters (31.7 trillion gallons) a year, which is one-fifth of all the water used nationally.
Production of coal in China has tripled since 2000, reaching 3.44 billion metric tons in 2012. Domestic supplies were still not enough to match demand — nearly 300 million metric tons of coal were imported last year. Government analysts project that China’s energy companies will need to produce an additional 600 million metric tons of coal annually by 2020, representing a 17 percent increase.
Urumqi, the fast-growing provincial capital of 3 million residents in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China’s far desert region in the northwest, was selected in 2010 as the first pilot demonstration of the co-control practices. Qingdao, a large and modern Pacific Coast city of 8 million residents in Shandong Province, was selected as the second co-control pilot demonstration project, and work started earlier this year.
The need to reduce air pollution is urgent, especially in Urumqi, which routinely earns the lowest air quality ranking and also has the highest sulfur dioxide content of any major Chinese city.
The Xinjiang government and the Urumqi government list improving air quality as one of the principal civic goals. The provincial and municipal governments plan to invest 19 billion RMB ($US 3.2 billion) over the next three years in pollution-control and combustion equipment to improve air quality. The investment will focus on reducing emissions citywide of three primary air pollutants — sulfur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter (PM), all of which are produced in prodigious quantities from burning coal.
In 2009, Urumqi’s power plants and heavy industries poured 156,000 metric tons of NOx into the atmosphere. Two years later, that number had increased to 178,000 metric tons. Working together to implement co-control measures, PRCEE and municipal leaders anticipate reducing annual NOx emissions to 81,000 metric tons by 2015, according to Ministry of Environment data. SOx emissions in Urumqi reached 72,000 metric tons in 2010, and PM emissions totaled 30,000 metric tons the same year. The pollution-control measures and equipment investments that are called for in PRCEE’s co-control protocols for Urumqi would, by 2015, reduce SOx emissions to 49,000 metric tons and particulate emissions to 18,500 metric tons.
Meanwhile, municipal air quality authorities in Qingdao have been working for years with the city’s industrial companies to curb air pollution, principally by shutting down the oldest factories and power plants and by doing more to enforce air quality regulations. The city’s SOx emissions in 2011 fell to 102,837 metric tons, down more than 52,000 metric tons from their recent peak of 155,351 metric tons in 2005. PM emissions, though, are climbing again, after falling from a 2005 peak.
Much of the improvement in Qingdao has come as a result of shutting down old, inefficient, and polluting industrial plants in the urban core, as well as constructing cleaner modern plants in close-by rural districts, just outside the city. According to the Qingdao Institute of Science and Technology, authorities have closed 297 small coal-fired industrial boilers and 15 small coal-fired industrial power plants from 2007 to 2012. In addition, authorities ordered the closure of 10 chemical plants and eight inefficient production lines at cement, fertilizer, and paper plants.
Conventional Pollution Control
Not surprisingly, there are no easy fixes to China’s air pollution emergency. For example, one of the popular global techniques to control sulfur emissions from industrial plants is to install equipment in the air waste stream to remove the pollutant. But the so-called flue gas desulfurization (FGD) process itself consumes considerable amounts of electricity, powered by coal.
For every metric ton of sulfur dioxide removed from the waste emissions of a power or manufacturing plant, initial calculations, according to China’s PRCEE, indicate that the process:
- Consumes 3,670 kilowatt-hours of electricity;
- Uses 1.182 metric tons of coal;
- Produces 5.43 metric tons of carbon dioxide; and
- Produces 0.016 metric tons of nitrogen oxides.
In other words, using the conventional approach to removing sulfur would have the boomerang effect of increasing electricity use, coal consumption, and the release of other emissions. The PRCEE calculated that, even if all of China’s flue gas desulfurization equipment at its coal-fired utilities functioned well, much of the sulfur emissions would be controlled. But it also would lead to:
- The need to increase electrical power generation by 3,000 to 8,000 megawatts, or the amount of power generated by three to eight big coal-fired power plants;
- Increases in the use of coal by 10 million to 28.1 million metric tons annually;
- Increases in carbon dioxide by 45.9 million to 129 million metric tons annually; and
- Increases in nitrogen oxides by 135,000 to 381,000 metric tons annually.
Similarly, the conventional approach to reduce nitrogen emissions — which is to apply what engineers call “selective catalytic reduction” (SCR) — requires equipment that is also powered by electricity and thus would consume more coal and produce more emissions from other air pollutants. Reducing nitrogen oxide emissions by 15 percent annually calls for taking 1.297 million tons of NOx out of the air waste stream. That, however, would:
- Require 2.579 billon kilowatt-hours of electricity;
- Use 830,000 metric tons of coal;
- Generate 2.45 million metric tons of carbon dioxide; and
- Produce 7,800 metric tons of sulfur dioxide.
The Co-control Alternative
A systematic approach could work better, especially when it is tied to advanced engineering and cost-reduction. In the Urumqi, the PRCEE team, led by Dr. Hu Tao, the unit’s chief economist, developed a co-control plan to reduce CO2, SOx, NOx, and PM2.5* emissions at a big power plant that called for:
- Changing coal-washing equipment — which improves the quality and energy content of coal — with equipment that uses less water, and therefore less electricity to power pumps.
- Modernizing the boiler ignition systems to use less power.
- Making sure that the equipment to produce electricity and to use the waste heat to generate steam is operating with ultra-high efficiencies, like combined heat and power processes.
- Looking for and fixing leaks in seals.
- Changing boiler systems to incorporate integrated gasification or ultra-super-critical technologies that produce more power with less coal and less water.
- Substituting smaller boiling units, which tend to be more efficient and less expensive to operate, for larger boilers.
Hu’s team then applied these upgrades to co-control methodology to understand the effects of reducing pollution and limiting carbon emissions. The results of these analyses indicate that significant reductions in carbon emissions can be attained by focusing on reducing sulfur and nitrogen oxide emissions.
For instance, the team calculated that setting a 40 percent annual reduction goal nationally for sulfur dioxide emissions nationally would lead to a 15 percent reduction in nitrogen oxide emissions and a 17 percent reduction in carbon dioxide emissions. This translates into emission reductions of 12.4 million metric tons of sulfur dioxide, 7.9 million metric tons of nitrogen oxide, and 1.15 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide annually.
Water As Co-Control Target
The Circle of Blue and Wilson Center researchers made the case that similarly significant reductions in coal consumption and pollution were possible if China’s Ministry of Environment included water as a target for co-control. In making this recommendation, the Choke Point: China field research team made a number of significant findings:
- Coal consumption in Urumqi and Qingdao is steadily increasing. In 2000, Urumqi’s industrial demand for coal was 5.5 million metric tons. By 2011, Urumqi’s annual demand for coal had experienced a four-fold increase to 22 million metric tons, of which 19.4 million metric tons was needed to power electrical generating and industrial plants. Meanwhile, Qingdao consumed 16.6 million metric tons in 2011, more than twice as much coal as the city consumed in 2000.
- Part of the reason that demand for electricity — and thus coal consumption — is rising is because both Urumqi and Qingdao face water shortages. Demand for water is increasing in these growing cities. So are the needs of limiting pollution and recycling wastewater for other uses, as well as transporting and treating water for drinking. These activities require new and more powerful pumps, as well as electricity-hungry water treatment plants that are powered, for the time being, by coal-fired generating stations.
The Xinjiang Deland Engineering Center for Water Treatment, a prominent water treatment design group in Urumqi, estimates that treating one cubic meter (264 gallons) of water for drinking requires about 0.5 kilowatt-hours of electricity. Treating one cubic meter of wastewater requires 1 kilowatt-hour. Recycling one cubic meter of wastewater for other uses requires 1.5 to 2 kilowatt-hours.
Urumqi’s demand for fresh water, wastewater treatment, and recycled water is soaring, along with its population and industrial output. In 2011, the city:
- Treated 310 million cubic meters (81.9 billion gallons) of drinking water daily, roughly twice as much as in 2000. Demand is expected to grow to 600 million cubic meters (160 billion gallons) by 2015, according to city authorities.
- Cleaned up 200 million cubic meters (530 billion gallons) of wastewater daily.
- Recycled 150 million cubic meters (40 billion gallons) of wastewater daily for use in industrial operations.
The engineering center estimated that 1.5 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity, or roughly 10 percent of the city’s power supply, are needed each year in Urumqi to treat water for various uses. That is more than the 1.39 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity that was used by Urumqi’s residents in 2011; it also is the same amount of power that is generated by a 300-megawatt coal-fired generating station, according to figures from the Union of Concerned Scientists. A generating station of that size, according to figures from the Union of Concerned Scientists, will consume almost 1 million metric tons of coal and produce tens of thousands of metric tons of sulfur oxides, nitrogen oxides, and particulates annually, in addition to more than 2 million metric tons of carbon dioxide.
Similarly, Qingdao’s water consumption and water treatment demands are growing. In 2011, the city:
- Treated 340 million cubic meters (90 billion gallons) of drinking water annually, which is 50 percent more than in 1995, increasing 3 to 5 percent annually, according to city records.
- Cleaned up to 105 million cubic meters (28 billion gallons) of wastewater annually; also increasing 3 to 5 percent annually.
Mindful of Water
There is, in short, no evading the economically essential and ecologically troubling accord between economic development, energy production, and water. Mindful of the long lifetimes of power plants, the PRCEE’s work to take water consumption into account in its co-control methodology would be essential in convincing China’s cities and its electricity sector to be more mindful of water supply, climate change, and geography when planning new energy plants.
The stakes in choosing a sound water supply strategy for supplying China with electricity could not be higher. The choices that China makes in the near term to define the power sector of the 21st century will reflect a profound reckoning with economic and environmental conditions, which are expected to grow more turbulent unless the world’s biggest nation reins in its energy demand.
The Circle of Blue and Wilson Center researchers found that sound judgments, based on new co-control data and operating practices, could compel cities and industries to conserve water. That, in turn, would reduce air emissions and still provide reliable supplies of energy at reasonable prices.
On the other hand, poor choices — driven by political and economic inertia, resistance to change, and obsolete and inadequate science and data — will put China in substantially more environmental and economic peril.
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