A first-of-its-kind space mission shows dips in groundwater supplies globally.
By Nadya Ivanova
Circle of Blue
Taking billboard space among the corporate advertisements, bright neon signs, and iconic video screens of New York City’s Times Square, one of the busiest pedestrian intersections in the world, is a 30-second digital animation of the world’s groundwater.
The electronic display — which won an international design competition to create a visualization related to world water issues and will run on two screens in Times Square through April 22 — conveys powerful climate, population, and economic trends affecting groundwater, which makes up more than one-fifth of the global fresh water. Places as disparate as North Africa, California’s Central Valley, and India’s northern states, among others, are all facing similar threats to their livelihoods, as climate patterns and resource-intensive ways of life are crashing into limits on groundwater supply.
Much of the data behind this animation is part of efforts by scientists at the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the University of California, Irvine (UCI), to use the small gravitational variations in the Earth, caused primarily by the redistribution of water on and beneath the land’s surface, to track changes in groundwater levels around the world.
Since 2002, NASA and the German Aerospace Center’s Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment mission, known as GRACE, has relied on two twin satellites that complete a full scan of the Earth each month, sending back some of the best data on the variations in the planet’s gravity fields.
The program, researchers say, identifies the spots around the world where groundwater is disappearing or recovering, and the data could provide a potentially powerful new global tool to scientists, water managers, and policy makers as they try to anticipate the effects of climate change and rising populations on the world’s freshwater resources.
“It’s the only space-based or ground-based measurement that tells you about the changes in the total water storage in the entire soil column,” said Matthew Rodell, researcher at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, in an interview with Circle of Blue. The program sees all the changes in “snow, surface water, soil moisture, and groundwater at all levels.”
“The great thing about a satellite mission like GRACE is that it really complements [existing groundwater monitoring],” said Jay Famiglietti, director of UCI’s Center for Hydrologic Modeling, who for years has been leading research teams that apply GRACE data to hydrology. “Basically, in one shot — and not to simplify it — for example, you’ve got a large-scale view of what’s happening in a region like the Central Valley that would be really, really difficult and time consuming to construct from ground-based data. And it’s a view that’s quite complementary to what we see with the wells on the ground.”
Seeing The Bigger Picture
Satellite technology also allows scientists to track groundwater levels in areas of the world that don’t have monitoring wells or don’t share their data publicly.
According to Famiglietti, GRACE’s 10 years of data also confirm that the water cycle is becoming more variable globally, suggesting that evaporation and precipitation rates are increasing as global temperatures climb — but not uniformly in space and time. The result is that rainfall will be delivered in more severe storms and floods, while droughts will become more prolonged and intense. This means that wet places like the tropics and the high Arctic will get wetter, and places that are already dry will get even drier, or what Famiglietti calls “more extreme extremes.”
“Most of the places that we see with the GRACE where groundwater is being depleted are the arid and semi-arid regions in those mid-latitudes,” he added. Many of these areas tend to be big population hubs. “Most of those are agricultural regions — the North China Plain, Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, the Middle East, some southern Europe and North Africa. In the U.S., we see the Ogallala Aquifer and the Central Valley. Even the southeastern U.S. — you think of it as being very humid, but they are in the grips of a long-term drought, and so they are using groundwater, too.”
– Jay S. Famiglietti
Center for Hydrologic Modeling
University of California, Irvine
GRACE findings show that, since the late 1990s, the arid Central Valley has lost about 50 cubic kilometers (12 cubic miles) of groundwater, or 1.5 times the volume of Lake Mead, the largest man-made reservoir in the United States.
In 2009, the mission also produced some of the first public data about the rate of groundwater depletion in India. GRACE observations found that beneath northern India’s irrigated fields of wheat, rice, and barley, and beneath the densely populated cities of Jaiphur and New Delhi, groundwater levels are declining by an average of one meter every three years (1 foot per year). Between 2002 and 2008, northern India lost more than 109 cubic kilometers (26 cubic miles) of groundwater — or triple the volume of Lake Mead — primarily to irrigate crops.
Goddard scientists are also experimenting with a project that generates weekly U.S. national groundwater maps by combining long-term meteorological data and GRACE satellite observations. Researchers say that the maps could be used to monitor the health of critical groundwater resources, in addition distinguishing between short-term and long-term droughts.
One of these maps showed that the severe drought that has been gripping Texas since October 2010, and that, as of November 2011, the drought had reduced groundwater throughout most of the state to the lowest levels in more than 60 years.
“In many of those places, we already know it’s happening, so what GRACE is doing is helping us quantify, see the bigger picture, the regional picture, and how the regional picture relates to other regions,” Famiglietti told Circle of Blue. “I like to use the analogy that GRACE is kind of like the scale in the sky. It doesn’t tell you how much you weigh, but it tells you how much water weight a region has gained or lost.”
GRACE data has its limits, however. Though its overall observations are pretty consistent with ground-based findings, gravitational data gets less accurate as the area examined gets smaller, typically below 150,000 square kilometers (58,000 square miles), or about the size of Illinois. Most aquifers are far smaller than that.
Since GRACE only streams monthly data, scientists also have to combine it with real-time measurements to extend their observations to the present.
But the efforts to use satellite technology to study the world’s water are gaining in following. When GRACE first launched in 2002, Famiglietti and Rodell were the only two hydrologists to work on the data. Today there are tens to hundreds of hydrologists using the measurements, and NASA has extended the GRACE mission beyond the originally planned five years. Meanwhile, a GRACE follow-up mission will be launched in 2017.
The European Space Agency (ESA) has its own water observation programs. Its Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer mission (GOCE) is tracing ocean circulation and sea levels, and ESA’s TIGER initiative monitors water from space to facilitate water management in Africa.
Nadya Ivanova, a Bulgaria native, is a Chicago-based reporter for Circle of Blue. She co-writes The Stream, a daily digest of international water news trends.
Interests: Europe, China, Environmental Policy, International Security.
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